Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Rev. Dr. David H. Benke's avatar

Data points that interest me: 1) Numbers of and percentage of district congregations with multi-point parishes (2-?). The Atlantic District hosted the Wyoming district back in 2012 and 2/3 of the Wyoming congregations were multi-point. That would be good to know and to trend.

2) Congregations with under 40 in worship - number and trend. These don't necessarily need a building, could meet in the living room, or in many cases around the kitchen table.

3) Pastors over 65 (or 70) serving congregations by district and as a percentage of work force.

In this time of diminishment, more flexibility in pastoral formation and in congregational closure/merger/collaboration is needed - 250000 churches across the country may close in 2026. If there were or is a plan for mission that encouraged closure while mandating fresh and new starts with pastors and leaders whose heart is for Gospel outreach, good things would happen and could be funded with monies received from sale of property in closed congregations and ministries. It feels to me that we're doubling down on narrowing approaches to formation while keeping dead and dying congregations afloat for no earthly reason.

Dave Benke

Expand full comment
Kyle C Winter's avatar

This is a really great data. Great work. I think you have to consider average weekly worship attendance as well. Membership numbers alone give a distorted picture—they’re almost always inflated, in my experience. Weekly attendance is the real bellwether of congregational health and actual engagement.

I’m convinced most LCMS congregations are operating with at least a 30% inflation in their membership rolls, whether due to non-attending members, families who’ve moved, or people who haven’t been active in years but remain on the books. And when you compare the attendance numbers that are reported, you’ll see that the average congregation is worshiping at around 40% of its official membership, many times even less.

Until we get honest about attendance versus membership—and clean up our rolls accordingly—any analysis built on membership statistics alone is going to be misleading. Attendance tells the real story.

Expand full comment
5 more comments...

No posts

Ready for more?